Golden Globes 2026 Stats — Prediction Accuracy & Winner Trends

Best Director - Motion Picture

Paul Thomas Anderson

81%

Ryan Coogler

11%

Chloé Zhao

4%

Guillermo del Toro

2%

Jafar Panahi

2%

Joachim Trier

2%

Best Motion Picture - Animated

KPop Demon Hunters

89%

Zootopia 2

7%

Elio

2%

Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

2%

Arco

0%

Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle

0%

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Sinners

61%

Hamnet

19%

Sentimental Value

9%

Frankenstein

7%

It Was Just an Accident

2%

The Secret Agent

2%

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

One Battle After Another

88%

Marty Supreme

7%

No Other Choice

4%

Bugonia

2%

Blue Moon

0%

Nouvelle Vague

0%

Best Motion Picture – Non-English Language

It Was Just an Accident

36%

The Secret Agent

25%

Sentimental Value

21%

The Voice of Hind Rajab

7%

No Other Choice

5%

Sirāt

5%

Best Original Score - Motion Picture

Sinners

79%

One Battle After Another

14%

F1

2%

Frankenstein

2%

Hamnet

2%

Sirāt

2%

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

Golden

95%

I Lied to You

5%

Dream As One

0%

Train Dreams

0%

The Girl in the Bubble

0%

No Place Like Home

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Michelle Williams

51%

Sarah Snook

35%

Claire Danes

9%

Amanda Seyfried

4%

Rashida Jones

2%

Robin Wright

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Jessie Buckley

88%

Jennifer Lawrence

5%

Tessa Thompson

4%

Renate Reinsve

2%

Eva Victor

2%

Julia Roberts

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Rose Byrne

64%

Chase Infiniti

18%

Emma Stone

7%

Cynthia Erivo

7%

Kate Hudson

4%

Amanda Seyfried

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

Amy Madigan

52%

Teyana Taylor

27%

Ariana Grande

7%

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas

5%

Emily Blunt

5%

Elle Fanning

4%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Erin Doherty

55%

Hannah Einbinder

14%

Aimee Lou Wood

9%

Parker Posey

9%

Carrie Coon

7%

Catherine O'Hara

5%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Rhea Seehorn

73%

Britt Lower

13%

Keri Russell

9%

Bella Ramsey

4%

Kathy Bates

2%

Helen Mirren

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Jean Smart

71%

Ayo Edebiri

13%

Natasha Lyonne

7%

Jenna Ortega

5%

Kristen Bell

4%

Selena Gomez

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Stephen Graham

96%

Matthew Rhys

4%

Paul Giamatti

0%

Jude Law

0%

Charlie Hunnam

0%

Jacob Elordi

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Michael B. Jordan

49%

Wagner Moura

33%

Joel Edgerton

7%

Dwayne Johnson

5%

Jeremy Allen White

4%

Oscar Isaac

2%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Timothée Chalamet

61%

Leonardo DiCaprio

24%

Ethan Hawke

9%

Jesse Plemons

4%

Lee Byung-hun

2%

George Clooney

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

Benicio del Toro

39%

Sean Penn

22%

Jacob Elordi

19%

Stellan Skarsgård

15%

Paul Mescal

6%

Adam Sandler

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Owen Cooper

74%

Tramell Tillman

15%

Walton Goggins

9%

Ashley Walters

2%

Billy Crudup

0%

Jason Isaacs

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Noah Wyle

91%

Diego Luna

4%

Adam Scott

2%

Gary Oldman

2%

Mark Ruffalo

2%

Sterling K. Brown

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Seth Rogen

81%

Jeremy Allen White

15%

Martin Short

4%

Glen Powell

0%

Adam Brody

0%

Steve Martin

0%

Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television

Kumail Nanjiani: Night Thoughts

43%

Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life

28%

Ricky Gervais: Mortality

13%

Sarah Silverman: PostMortem

11%

Kevin Hart: Acting My Age

4%

Bill Maher: Is Anyone Else Seeing This?

2%

Best Podcast

Good Hang with Amy Poehler

75%

Smartless

13%

Call Her Daddy

6%

Up First

4%

The Mel Robbins Podcast

2%

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard

0%

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

One Battle After Another

58%

Sinners

24%

Hamnet

5%

Sentimental Value

5%

It Was Just an Accident

4%

Marty Supreme

4%

Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television

Adolescence

98%

Dying for Sex

2%

All Her Fault

0%

Black Mirror

0%

The Beast in Me

0%

The Girlfriend

0%

Best Television Series - Drama

The Pitt

71%

Pluribus

22%

Severance

4%

Slow Horses

2%

The Diplomat

2%

The White Lotus

0%

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy

The Studio

81%

Hacks

6%

The Bear

6%

Abbott Elementary

4%

Nobody Wants This

2%

Only Murders in the Building

2%

Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

Sinners

58%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

16%

KPop Demon Hunters

9%

F1

7%

Wicked: For Good

5%

Weapons

2%

Zootopia 2

2%

Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning

0%