Golden Globes 2024 Stats — Prediction Accuracy & Winner Trends

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Emma Stone

60%

Margot Robbie

27%

Natalie Portman

6%

Alma Pöysti

2%

Jennifer Lawrence

2%

Fantasia Barrino

2%

Best Motion Picture - Animated

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

61%

The Boy and the Heron

37%

Suzume

2%

Elemental

0%

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

0%

Wish

0%

Best Motion Picture - Drama

Christopher Nolan

54%

Martin Scorsese

23%

Greta Gerwig

17%

Celine Song

4%

Bradley Cooper

2%

Yorgos Lanthimos

0%

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Barbie

73%

Poor Things

20%

The Holdovers

4%

American Fiction

2%

Air

0%

May December

0%

Best Motion Picture – Drama

Oppenheimer

62%

Killers of the Flower Moon

32%

Past Lives

4%

The Zone of Interest

2%

Anatomy of a Fall

0%

Maestro

0%

Best Motion Picture – Non-English Language

Anatomy of a Fall

59%

Past Lives

31%

The Zone of Interest

6%

Society of the Snow

4%

Fallen Leaves

0%

Io Capitano

0%

Best Original Score - Motion Picture

Ludwig Göransson

69%

Joe Hisaishi

18%

Jerskin Fendrix

6%

Robbie Robertson

4%

Daniel Pemberton

2%

Mica Levi

0%

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

I’m Just Ken

67%

What Was I Made For?

27%

Dance the Night

6%

Road to Freedom

0%

Addicted to Romance

0%

Peaches

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Ali Wong

44%

Juno Temple

25%

Riley Keough

10%

Rachel Weisz

10%

Brie Larson

6%

Elizabeth Olsen

4%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Lily Gladstone

80%

Sandra Hüller

7%

Greta Lee

7%

Annette Bening

4%

Carey Mulligan

2%

Cailee Spaeny

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Ayo Edebiri

61%

Rachel Brosnahan

14%

Quinta Brunson

10%

Natasha Lyonne

10%

Selena Gomez

2%

Elle Fanning

2%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

Da'Vine Joy Randolph

63%

Julianne Moore

16%

Rosamund Pike

8%

Jodie Foster

4%

Emily Blunt

4%

Danielle Brooks

4%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Meryl Streep

33%

Elizabeth Debicki

27%

Hannah Waddingham

18%

J. Smith-Cameron

16%

Christina Ricci

6%

Abby Elliott

0%

Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Sarah Snook

50%

Bella Ramsey

23%

Emma Stone

17%

Imelda Staunton

6%

Helen Mirren

2%

Keri Russell

2%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Steven Yeun

80%

Jon Hamm

18%

David Oyelowo

2%

Sam Claflin

0%

Matt Bomer

0%

Woody Harrelson

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Cillian Murphy

61%

Bradley Cooper

18%

Andrew Scott

10%

Leonardo DiCaprio

6%

Barry Keoghan

4%

Colman Domingo

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Paul Giamatti

54%

Jeffrey Wright

27%

Timothée Chalamet

8%

Joaquin Phoenix

6%

Matt Damon

2%

Nicolas Cage

2%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture

Robert Downey Jr.

40%

Ryan Gosling

29%

Charles Melton

17%

Robert De Niro

6%

Mark Ruffalo

4%

Willem Dafoe

4%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role on Television

Matthew Macfadyen

65%

Ebon Moss-Bachrach

24%

James Marsden

8%

Alexander Skarsgård

2%

Alan Ruck

0%

Billy Crudup

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Kieran Culkin

37%

Jeremy Strong

31%

Pedro Pascal

27%

Brian Cox

6%

Gary Oldman

0%

Dominic West

0%

Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy

Jeremy Allen White

76%

Bill Hader

10%

Jason Sudeikis

10%

Jason Segel

4%

Martin Short

0%

Steve Martin

0%

Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television

Trevor Noah: Where Was I

53%

Chris Rock: Selective Outrage

29%

Ricky Gervais: Armageddon

8%

Sarah Silverman: Someone You Love

4%

Wanda Sykes: I'm an Entertainer

4%

Amy Schumer: Emergency Contact

2%

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture

Oppenheimer

31%

Barbie

23%

Past Lives

17%

Anatomy of a Fall

15%

Killers of the Flower Moon

13%

Poor Things

2%

Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television

BEEF

79%

Fargo

10%

Lessons in Chemistry

6%

All the Light We Cannot See

2%

Daisy Jones & the Six

2%

Fellow Travelers

0%

Best Television Series - Drama

Succession

86%

The Last of Us

8%

The Crown

4%

1923

2%

The Diplomat

0%

The Morning Show

0%

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy

The Bear

69%

Ted Lasso

12%

Jury Duty

10%

Barry

4%

Abbott Elementary

2%

Only Murders in the Building

2%

Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

Barbie

61%

TAYLOR SWIFT | THE ERAS TOUR

29%

Oppenheimer

10%

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

0%

John Wick: Chapter 4

0%

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

0%

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

0%

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

0%